Texas’s Winter Forecast Is in (And It’s Not What You’d Expect)

We all can agree that the weather in Texas is notoriously unpredictable - especially in the winter. But thanks to the Farmers' Almanac's 2025-2026 winter predictions, we have some idea of what to expect. Unlike a couple of years ago, it looks like we'll see “a drier and warmer winter with occasional cold snaps” and there will be low levels of precipitation. So, there might be no need to pull out our thickest coats for this upcoming winter. As long as we don’t see a repeat of those extreme icy conditions from a few winters ago, we are good! Do you trust The Old Farmer's Almanac 2025-2026 winter predictions for Texas? Let's see what they are!

For over 200 years, The Old Farmers’ Almanac has been making its winter predictions. And though the forecasts aren’t perfect, the almanac stands by its 80 percent accuracy record. If you ask me, 80 percent is pretty solid, especially for something so unpredictable as the weather. The trustworthy almanac, which has been around since 1792, relies on weather patterns, astrological alignments, and mathematical data to make its predictions. But of course, Mother Nature can easily turn things upside down. 

Portions of the United States can expect a cold and wet winter season, with the coldest conditions in the Appalachian region, the Southeast, and the Ohio Valley. The Old Farmer's Almanac predictions for these U.S. regions for the upcoming season are essentially the polar (pun intended) opposite of Texas. And the rest of the country, like Texas, will experience above average temperatures and below normal precipitation.

In Texas, there is no need to bundle up this year! You might be wearing your light fall jacket for most of the winter. Winter will officially begin on December 21, and while only Mother Nature knows exactly when the coldest temperatures will arrive, the winter weather predictions for Texas forecast chilly weather for mid-December, early January, late January, and early February. The best chance for snow is expected in mid-November.

However, for folks in West Texas, the almanac also predicts that you will experience warmer-than-normal with the potential for rain and snow in some areas. The good news is that a major winter storm, such as the one we experienced in February 2021, can be ruled out (read our previous coverage to see photos from the 2021 Texas snowstorm). If you were hoping for a winter wonderland for Christmas, you might need to add that to your Santa wish list. Santa, are you listening?

Since we can't change the weather, we might as well make the most of it. So, for the second half of the season, make plans to explore the Lone Star State. And if the wintery weather shows up earlier in the season (if at all), cozy up on the couch with a warm beverage, watch your favorite holiday movies, and maybe even build a snowman or two. I am hoping to play in some snow this year!

Don't forget to check out our Ultimate Winter Packing List for 30 cold-weather essentials that will prepare you to take on whatever the season brings. You should also visit The Old Farmer's Almanac website for more information about its 2025-2026 winter predictions.

Are you as surprised as we are by this Texas winter forecast 2025-2026 from The Old Farmer's Almanac? If you feel inspired to plan a getaway in Texas this winter, try planning your own trip using Only In Your State’s itinerary planner.